Handicappers must simply decide whether they believe that team will exceed the posted win total or fall short of it. Betting on NFL player props is a tricky situation since not all football games go according to plan. If you believe Quarterback X will complete more than 22.5 passes, but his defense scores twice and they are blowing out a team, the chances of him reaching 23 completions is very low. When looking at betting an NFL total, there should be three things you take into consideration.

  • If the Eagles can hold up their end of the bargain, the projected game script should allow for Darnold to cruise past 270 passing yards here yet again.
  • It’s a wonder they are only 6-3, but their best football could very well be in front of them.
  • The best team in the NFL is often one of the most popular to wager on, and the Chiefs have been thought of as the best team in football despite losing in the Super Bowl last year.
  • The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span.
  • Aggressive, contrarian picks are how you win large survivor pools.
  • The public is heavily backing the Chiefs, while only 29% percent of bettors are backing the underdog Bucs at +3.

Justin Reid had an interception and a forced fumble, and the duo of Terrance Mitchell and Desmond King has been decent. However, the Panthers have so many weapons between McCaffrey, Moore, Robby Anderson, and Terrace Marshall Jr., among others, that can challenge a weaker Texans’ defense. Too many question marks surround these teams, prompting markets to roll out a PK line for this matchup. Yes, the Cardinals picked Kyler Murray in the draft with their No.1 overall pick but nobody knows yet whether he’s the starter or not. As such, the Lions are garnering the lion’s share of early betting and are promptly moving into minus money with several sportsbooks. That said this matchup could undergo significant moves on the NFL odds board before kick-off yet.

Nfl Week One Betting Lines, Odds, And Game Picks

It is projected to be right around there once again with its win total set at 10.5 games, except oddsmakers give Los Angeles the fourth-best odds to win the Super Bowl at 12-1. A big reason for that is the addition of quarterback Matthew Stafford, who is tied for the seventh-shortest MVP odds. Stafford won 74 games and led 38 game-winning drives over 12 seasons in Detroit, though he’s never won a playoff game. There’s also Aaron Donald leading the league’s No. 1 defense from a year ago. Donald’s won AP Defensive Player of the Year three times in four seasons and is a betting co-favorite at +550 to make it four wins in five years.

Fantasy Football Buy Low, Sell High For Week 9

Then you add in home field advantage, which for a long time was considered three points as a standard but is actually lower on average in this era of football. I Receiving The A Url Betting Spreadsheet actually determine unique home field advantage totals for each team based on data from the last five years. Football bettors have been reading every word out of camp, watching and re-watching every preseason tilt, and juggling the Week 1 odds in preparation for the NFL season openers. Another handy tool when handicapping NFL action is to open the history books and pick up on some of the trends teams carry into Week 1.

The Packers were one-point favorites over the Saints on informative post the road when the lines were first posted, but there was uncertainty about Aaron Rodgers, and New Orleans is a tough place to play. Every Monday during the NFL season, I am going to provide a look at the opening lines with an emphasis on the games that stand out to me. The odds for Week 1 were originally posted back in May after the NFL released the 2021 schedules.

Dianna Russini Compares Baker Mayfield & Browns To Doomed Relationship

What that does mean is Mac Jones doesn’t need to replace the goat, he just needs to replace Cam Newton, and that’s a much simpler situation for a rookie to come into. It will either give them or boost or have them spinning in circles. We saw Darren Waller and Derek Carr get emotional when talking about the situation, and it’s clear many people within that organization had deep personal ties to Gruden.

Once the Ravens got rolling last season, oddsmakers couldn’t put too high of a point spread on their games. Green Bay has Rodgers under center, a two-time MVP and eight-time Pro Bowler who already has a Hall of Fame spot awaiting him. Minnesota counters with Kirk Cousins, a solid-at-best passer who struggles to elevate his game in tough situations and just saw his favorite target get traded away and replaced by a rookie .

Murray has thrown for less than 270 yards in three straight games. They won’t need a lot of volume from him this week in order to defeat the Texans. There are six teams on bye in Week 7 with several of those teams being playoff contenders. That leaves us with a less-than-desirable slate of games, one of which includes the 1-5 Houston Texans traveling to Arizona to take on the 6-0 Cardinals. We’re here to bring you a Cardinals vs. Texans in-depth review and betting prediction breakdown. For the second straight week, the Buccaneers’ line looks inflated with a couple extra points tagged on.